Service Plays Sunday 02/15/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[SteveMcQueen]

THE SOCCER EXPERTS

SUNDAY


Spain:
Atletico Madrid to win
Real Madrid to win


France:
Monco vs. Ol. Marssilie over 2.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Soccer VictoriousPlay:


Ajax vs. Feyenoord
15 February 2009 / 12:30
Soccer - Dutch Eredivisie
Pick: 5* Ajax (-1)
Odds: 1.93 @ stanjames


Groningen vs. Heracles
15 February 2009 / 14:30
Soccer - Dutch Eredivisie
Pick: 4* Groningen (-1.5)
Odds: 2.01 @ pinnacle


BB Ankaraspor vs. Istanbul BB
14 February 2009 / 13:00
Soccer - Turkish Süper Lig
Pick: 3* BB Ankaraspor (-0.5,-1)
Odds: 1.89 @ 188bet


Bursaspor vs. Sivasspor
14 February 2009 / 14:00
Soccer - Turkish Süper Lig
Pick: 3* Bursaspor (0,+0.5)
Odds: 2.16 @ pinnacle


Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe
14 February 2009 / 21:00
Soccer - Spanish Primera Division
Pick: 3* Atletico Madrid (-0.5,-1)
Odds: 1.98 @ ladbrokes


Bonus Play:

NEC vs. SC Heerenveen
15 February 2009 / 14:30
Soccer - Dutch Eredivisie
Pick: Over 2.5 goals


Ice Hockey VictoriousPlay:

Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti
14 February 2009 / 17:00 CET
Soccer - Russian KHL League
Pick: 3* Under 5
Odds: 1.88 <!-- / message -->

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Raging Bull

Soccer:

AS Monaco/Marseille over 2 (France Ligue 1)

VfL Osnabruck/Mainz over 2.5 (German 2 Bundesliga)

Ajax Amsterdam/Feyenoord Rotterdam over 3 (Dutch Eredivisie)

Celtic +110 (Scottish Premier League)

Real Madrid/Sporting Gijon over 2.5 (Spain La Liga)

Atletico Madrid/Getafe over 2.5 (Spain La Liga)

 

[SteveMcQueen]

ATS Sports Club
February 15, 2009

France Ligue 1:

Lyon vs. Le Havre AC over 2.5

German 2 Bundesliga:

Kaiserslautern vs. FC Ingolstadt 04 over 3

Dutch Eredivisie:

FC Groningen vs. SC Heracles Almelo over 3

Sparta Rotterdam vs. Vitesse Arnhem over 3

Portuguese Liga:

FC Porto vs. Rio Ave over 2.5

 

[SteveMcQueen]

CTO

Confidential Tip-Off


*INDIANA over Illinois (Day Game)...Tom Crean’s youthful Hoosiers (seven frosh frequently see action) getting close to discarding their training wheels when playing in Bloomington, as their recent 68-60 upset of Iowa indicates. Hoosiers now 6-2 this season as a home dog. Meanwhile, Illinois is certainly no road juggernaut, having lost four straight on the Big Ten trail prior to the Illini’s Feb. 12 date at Northwestern. Indiana juco G Devan Dumes (14 ppg, 39% triples; check status) has become a force to be reckoned with in the league, and 6-8, 240 frosh Tom Pritchard and mates always give him better support in Bloomington.

*INDIANA 65 - Illinois 58 RATING - 10

 

[gansettsports]

~~~ uo25 dot com comp site...

~~~ 15-7 ytd, 8-2 last 10, off a W Sat on Bordeaux under.

~~~ Celtic/Glascow over 2.5/+115 OLY Scottish Premier

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kelso Sunday 2/15 BB

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->50 unit "College Underdog Game of Week" Miami Fl +8.5

5 unit Louis -21

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

(6) Duke (20-4, 11-11-1 ATS) at Boston College (18-8, 11-10 ATS)
Duke attempts to rebound from Wednesday’s humbling home loss to third-ranked North Carolina when it treks north to Chestnut Hill, Mass., for an ACC battle with Boston College.
The Blue Devils got outscored 57-35 in the second half Wednesday en route to a 101-87 loss to the Tar Heels as a two-point home underdog. Duke shot 48.6 percent from the field, but allowed North Carolina to connect on 54.8 percent of its shots and 27 of 31 free throws. The Blue Devils, who had given up more than 80 points just once all season – when Michigan scored 81 – have now dropped three of their last five games (1-4 ATS) following a 10-game winning streak
Boston College has followed up a five-game winning streak (4-1 ATS) with back-to-back SU and ATS setbacks to Wake Forest (93-76 as an 11-point road underdog) and Clemson (87-77 as a 3½-point home pup). The Eagles have surrendered nearly 84 ppg in their five ACC defeats compared with 68.8 ppg in their six conference wins.
Duke dropped to 7-3 SU and 4-6 ATS in ACC play with the loss to North Carolina, and it has lost its last two conference road games (0-2 ATS) at Wake Forest (70-68) and Clemson (74-47). B.C. is 6-5 SU and 5-6 ATS in league action, but only 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS at home.
The Eagles are winless in seven meetings with Duke going back to 2001, including 0-3 at home, but they’re 4-2-1 ATS (2-1 ATS at home). In last year’s lone meeting, the Blue Devils prevailed 90-80 at home, but came nowhere near covering as an 18-point chalk. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six series clashes.
Duke’s 1-4 ATS slump has all come in ACC play, and it is also 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games following an outright loss, 0-4 ATS in its last four against winning teams and 1-4 ATS this season as a single-digit favorite. However, the Blue Devils have cashed in four straight contests following a double-digit home defeat. Boston College carries a slew of ATS slumps into this one, including 1-5 at home, 0-5 after a double-digit home loss, 1-4 after a SU defeat of any kind and 3-7 against winning teams
All seven meetings between these teams have gone over the total. Also, for B.C., the over is on runs of 6-1-1 overall (all in the ACC), 20-6 at home and 7-0 versus teams with a winning record. The over is also 7-0 in Duke’s last seven against winning teams, but the under is 21-7 in its last 28 overall, 13-3 in its last 16 ACC games and 4-0 in its last four on Sunday.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER



(3) North Carolina (22-2, 10-12 ATS) at Miami, Fla. (15-8, 9-8-1 ATS)
Four days after an impressive 14-point win at archrival Duke, North Carolina heads back on the road when it visits Miami, Fla., in ACC action.
The Tar Heels overcame an eight-point halftime deficit and throttled the Blue Devils 101-87 as a two-point road chalk Wednesday, running their winning streak – all in ACC play – to eight in a row (4-4 ATS). All five UNC starters scored in double figures against Duke, led by point guard Ty Lawson, who had a game-high 25 points while also contributing four rebounds and five assists. Both teams finished with 34 field goals, but the Heels won the game at the free-throw line, going 27-for-31 compared with 11-for-18 for Duke
Miami has been idle since last Saturday, when it squandered a 32-19 halftime lead at Duke and lost 78-75 in overtime, but covered as a 14-point underdog. It was the fourth defeat in the Hurricanes’ last five games (2-3 ATS), with three of them coming in overtime. On the bright side, the last time the ‘Canes were at home, they throttled Wake Forest 79-52 as a 2½-point home pup.
The Tar Heels have won 21 of their 22 games by 14 points or more and are averaging 91.7 ppg (48.4 percent shooting) and allowing 72 ppg (40.4 percent). Miami puts up 74.6 ppg (43.7 percent shooting) and gives up 66.1 ppg (39.1 percent)
Since losing its first two conference games to Boston College and Wake Forest, North Carolina has won eight in a row and now sits alone atop the ACC standings at 8-2, but only 4-6 ATS. On the road in conference, Roy Williams’ squad is 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS
These teams met Jan. 17 in Chapel Hill, N.C., and the Tar Heels rolled to an 82-65 win, but came up a hair short as a 17½-point home favorite. North Carolina has won the last four meetings (3-1 ATS) and six of the last seven (4-3 ATS), including consecutive double-digit routs the last two years in South Beach (98-82 as an eight-point road chalk in 2007; 80-70 as a one-point road pup in 2006). The visitor has cashed in five of the last six series clashes
North Carolina is 9-4 ATS as a favorite of less than 20 points this season and has also covered in 31 of its last 46 games against teams with a winning record. On the downside, the Heels are mired in pointspread funks of 4-10 following a SU win, 0-6 after a spread-cover, 4-9 in ACC play, 1-4 on Sunday and 0-4 following a game in which they scored more than 90 points. Miami is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine after a SU loss and 5-2 ATS as an underdog this year, but 1-4-1 ATS in its last six at home
Last month’s meeting between these teams stayed under the total, ending a 4-0 “over” stretch in this rivalry. The over is also on runs for UNC of 5-1 overall (all in the ACC), 4-1 on the road and 13-3 on Sunday. Miami is also riding “over” streaks of 5-1 overall (all in the ACC), 19-9 after a SU loss and 4-1 versus winning teams.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NORTH CAROLINA and OVER



USC (15-8, 10-11 ATS) at (18) Arizona State (19-5, 13-7 ATS)
Fresh off an impressive home win over No. 11 UCLA, Arizona State returns to Wells Fargo Arena looking to avenge a loss to USC and further damage the slumping Trojans’ NCAA Tournament hopes.
The Sun Devils pulled away in the final couple of minutes against UCLA on Thursday, winning 74-67 as a 1½-point home underdog to become the first Pac-10 team to sweep a season series from the Bruins in three years. Arizona State, which is trying to win its first-ever Pac-10 title, shot an astounding 60 percent from the field, making 11 of 18 tries from three-point range. Star forward James Harden led the way with 15 points and 11 rebounds.
After closing out January with three straight wins, the Trojans have opened February with consecutive losses, including Thursday’s 83-76 setback at Arizona as a 2½-point road pup. USC had a 27-19 rebounding edge and made 51.8 percent of its shots in the defeat, going 10-for-17 from three-point range. However, the Trojans couldn’t get a stop, as Arizona shot 59.1 percent from the field (12-for-20 on three-pointers).
Arizona State is tied for second place in the Pac-10 at 8-4 SU and ATS, including 3-2 SU and ATS at home, and the SU winner has covered the spread in each of the team’s last 14 lined games. The Trojans are 6-5 SU and 5-6 ATS in league action (2-4, 3-3 ATS on the road).
The Sun Devils went to USC on Jan. 15 as a one-point road favorite and fell 61-49, as Harden missed all eight of his field-goal attempts and was held to just four points (all on free throws). USC has won the last two meetings, including a four-point victory in last year’s Pac-10 tournament, but Arizona State is still 5-2 ATS in the last seven clashes. Also, the home team has won five consecutive regular-season battles, cashing in each of the last four. Finally, the underdog has covered in 10 of the last 12 meetings.
Despite Thursday’s setback at Arizona, the Trojans are still on positive pointspread upticks of 24-11 on the road, 22-10 on the road versus teams with a winning home record, 20-8 after a SU loss and 6-2 after an ATS setback. However, they have failed to cover in four consecutive Sunday games. ASU is on ATS runs of 5-2 overall and 11-4-1 in Pac-10 play.
The over has hit six of the last seven times USC has played at Arizona State. Additionally, the over is on stretches of 5-2 for the Sun Devils at home, 4-0 for the Trojans overall (all in Pac-10 play) and 5-2 for the Trojans on the road. Conversely, the under is 5-1 in USC’s last six Sunday contests, 7-3 in ASU’s last 10 overall (all in the Pac-10), 5-2 in ASU’s last seven on Sunday and 7-2 in the last nine head-to-head meetings overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DAVE COKIN

(809) BUFFALO
(810) BALL STATE
Take "(809) BUFFALO"

It's been an amazing year for Buffalo. First, they pretty much shocked the college football world by winning the MAC title and going to their first ever bowl game. Now the Bulls are making all kinds of noise in MAC roundball, with a legit shot to claim this crown as well. Buffalo has been exceptional as lightly priced chalk, covering 10 of 12 when laying six or fewer points. Ball State is only 12-23 vs. the spot in lined home games, and the Cardinals are really starting to miss the presence of their injured guard Newell. I like Buffalo to rack up another win and cover.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JIM FEIST

(833) USC
(834) ARIZONA STATE
Take "Under"

These are two of the top 5 teams in scoring defense in the Pac 10. Arizona State is third allowing 61.7 ppg, while USC is 5th allowing 68.4 ppg. Arizona State is on a 6-1 run under the total. When these teams met last month, USC won a monster defensive game, 61-49. USC shot 41% and won only because they held the Sun Devils to 34% shooting. The Trojans shot 1-for-12 and committed seven turnovers in the first 11 minutes, but the Sun Devils didn't take full advantage, leading just 13-4. Look for another powerful defensive duel, play USC/Arizona State Under the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty missed with Syracuse Saturday.

Sunday it's Duke. The profit is 175 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cajun Sports

CBB 2*

TIME: 1 PM EST. Sunday February 15
GAME: Illinois Illini -10 vs. Indiana Hoosiers
RATING: 1* to 6* (6* Highest Rated Selection)
PLAY: 2* Illinois Illini -10


ANALYSIS:
Assembly Hall will be the site of today's Big 10 battle between the host Indiana Hoosiers and the visiting Illinois Illini. Illinois enters off back-to-back wins over Purdue at home 66 to 48 and on the road at Northwestern 60 to 59 on Thursday night. Indiana is coming in off back-to-back losses on the road at Michigan State 75 to 47 and at Minnesota 62 to 54 last Tuesday night.

The Hoosiers will be looking to avenge a 31 point beat down they had put on them by the Illini in Champaign back on January 10th losing 76 to 45 as a 17.5 point road underdog. Although the Illini may be seeking some revenge themselves as Indiana defeated them in both meetings last season. This game like all others will come down to talent and execution and Indiana is certainly shy in the talent department and it's hard to execute when you lack the players to make the shots.

Indiana is 1-10 SU and 6-5 ATS in conference play this season averaging 60.6 points per game and allowing 71.7 points per game. Illinois is 8-4 SU and 6-5 ATS in conference action this year averaging 61.6 points per game and allowing 57.4 points per game. The Illini are 100-44 ATS when they allow 60 or fewer points in a game since 1997. Indiana is 9-28 ATS when they score between 55 & 60 points and 7-17 ATS when they score 60 or fewer points in a game the last three seasons.

College basketball teams after losing straight up and winning ATS in their last game and are now involved in a game with a line range of 10 to 13.5 points are 346-403-19 ATS. College basketball teams after losing straight up by five or more points and winning against the spread in their last game now a conference home underdog are 172-214-8 ATS. College basketball teams after winning straight up and losing ATS on the road now installed as a conference favorite have posted a record of 87-61 ATS in that role if they have a line range of 10 to 13.5 those teams are 17-6 ATS.

Illinois is 55-36 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread, 22-7 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less, 14-4 ATS off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival and 9-1 ATS off a close road win by 3 points or less since 1997. Indiana is 7-16 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders the last 2 seasons, 5-13 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread and 0-10 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses since 1997.

With the talent advantage along with solid fundamental and technical support we will back the visitor here as they get the season sweep and cash another ticket for their backers as the Illini roll to an easy win in Bloomington on Sunday afternoon.

Projected Final Score: (2*) Illinois Illini 68 Indiana Hoosiers 52

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI

NHL

DETROIT 4, Colorado 3
ANAHEIM 4, Atlanta 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Maddux Sports

Basketball

#819 - NCAA - 3 units on Michigan +4
#825 - NCAA - 3 units on Duke -6.5
#829 - NCAA - 3 units on Illinois State +1.5
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GamblersWorld

Tip of the Day - February 15, 2009

Today's TIP OF THE DAY:
Sport: NHL

Game: 6:00PM, Carolina Hurricanes vs. Buffalo Sabres

Prediction: Buffalo Sabres

Current Line: -165

Over/Under: 5.5

Reason: The Carolina Hurricanes and the Buffalo Sabres will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at HSBC Arena.

Oddsmakers currently have the Sabres listed as 165-moneyline favorites versus the Hurricanes, while the game's total is sitting at 5½.

Cam Ward allowed four goals on just 19 shots in the Hurricanes' 5-1 loss to the Blue Jackets on Saturday night.

The Jackets picked up the victory as +140 road underdogs in that contest, while the combined score went just OVER the night's posted total (5.5).

The Sabres held on for a 6-5 shootout win from the Sharks at HSBC Arena Friday.

Buffalo won as a +152 home underdog while the final score played over the 5.5-goal total.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ATS Lock Club

4 Drake -1.5
3 Miami Fla +8.5
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ATS Financial Package
3 Drexel -11

 

[gansettsports]

~~~ Comp Plays from Sports Monitor

~~~ Rocketman: Ill Chic over VALPO
~~~ Chip Chirimbes: MIA over NC
~~~ Big Al: NW over Mich, Wolverines 1-11 as rd if beat foe previously in season..

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Primetime Sports Advisors
58-39 last 97 in hoops--60%
2-0 yesterday

1 unit Butler -18.5
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Indiana
North Carolina
Usc